Barack Obama's Arizona Operation Rocks

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Gallup contraction causes me concern. It says we need a response to the redistributionist argument -- yes it is smoke and mirrors, but there is still room to directly refute GOP distortions. I assume Barack's half hour TV program tomorrow will widen things. Even though I still favor my own wildly optimistic map at the bottom of the page, I take as the moral that every last vote needs to be cast to ensure the victory we have sought these many, many months. My only other counsel is that Barack should smile more.Yesterday's closing argument was excellent, but SOMBER.

A McCain Chappaquiddick? SOURCE

PUMA like sentiments on Tina Brown's Daily Beast. SOURCE

Veteran pollster says we will have a landslide (political earthquake) come 4 Nov. SOURCE

Obama's Safety -- Connecting The Dots SOURCE + AP ACCOUNT

Congressman Wolf has a tried and true method of suppressing questioners in Virginia. Hit them with canes and pin them to the wall. Text and video. Times are tough all over. SOURCE Donate to his opponent, Judy Feder. SOURCE Race a tossup. SOURCE

WINGNUTS are trying to turn an abstruse conservative legal point that made in a 2000 radio interview into a cause celebre, an eleventh hour stratagem that will fail. I can see the Chicago adsmiths at work already and expect a 30 second riposte to be grinding the fading Drudge-Limbaugh crowd into the outer reaches of Reductio Ad Absurdum Land. Look for it today or tomorrow.

But Sunstein argued that in the context of a long, legalistic interview, the words referred to the narrower forms of redistribution -- education, legal filing fees, legal representation, and other issues -- that had been discussed in the case Obama cited and in discussions around it.

A University of Chicago law professor who appeared on the 2001 WBEZ program with Obama, and who also supports him, Dennis Hutchinson, described the interview as "not a bombshell."

"He's saying you don't achieve stable social change through judicial activism," Hutchinson said. As for 'redistribution of wealth,' "that's what a progressive tax system does," he said. SOURCE

Much more, from a conservative legal perspective, here: SOURCE

In Florida, some McCain paid volunteers are actually for Obama. SOURCE

Battleground Cheat Sheet SOURCE

's Arizona Operation RocksLate news: Arizonans who will not vote for McCain and why. SOURCE

A revealing glimpse into the sad reality for John McCain in his home state. The main reason the state's conservatives do not like him is the Lou Dobbs reason. McCain's position on immigration is sane. This accounts partially for the lackluster campaign McCain is running around the state.

In happy contrast, the Obama effort in Arizona is hopping.

The contrast is striking. The McCain campaign office is devoid of people, but its walls are lined with stacks of unsold yard signs. Meanwhile, the Obama office is filled with volunteers, but signs fly out of the door almost as fast as they arrive. Obama's Phoenix office was able to fill their waiting list for yard signs and had some leftover stock. Cieslak says, though, that the signs are a high-demand item. They are selling them for $8 on a "first come, first serve basis," and they expect them to be gone by the time this article is published.

This pattern is true throughout the state. Although Tucson is a blue dot in a sea of Arizona red, we expected the McCain office to be full of home state volunteers working for Arizona's favorite son, but the McCain office in Tucson has also been empty.

The Tucson Democratic office, on the other hand, is filled with bustling volunteers chatting on the phone with voters, inputting data, making coffee and snacks in the kitchen area, and organizing campaign literature in the back of the office. The phone rings non-stop. Because the office is located on a busy corner, there is also a constant stream of walk-in visitors purchasing campaign materials or volunteering for the campaign. SOURCE

And It's Close in Arizona SOURCE

AZ: McCain 44, Obama 40 (Myers/Grove-D-10/23-24)

Myers Research (D) and Grove Insight (D) for Project New West
10/23-25/08, 600 likely voters, MoE +/- 4

Arizona
McCain 44, Obama 40, Nader 3, Barr 2

Next:

AZ: McCain 44, Obama 42 (Zimmerman & Associates)

Zimmerman & Associates
Survey dates and sample size unknown.

The Arizona Daily Star reports today:

A statewide poll taken by Tucson-based Democratic pollsters Carol and Pete Zimmerman two weeks out from the election suggests McCain's lead over Obama falls within the margin of error: 43.5 percent to 41.5 percent, with 10 percent of likely Arizona voters undecided.

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